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Energy Outlook in Latin America and the Caribbean: Challenges, Counstraints and Opportunities

Medellin, Colombia
March 15-18, 2015


Plenary Session
Issues of base load and storage under intermittency and security of supply

Einar Hope

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Plenary Session
Grupo EPM estrategia de crecimiento en Latinoamerica

Sergio Adolfo Montoya

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


Plenary Session
South American Natural Gas: Supply, Demand and Trade in a Global Context

Peter Hartley

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Energy Specializations: Natural Gas


Plenary Session
Utility Business Models and Challenges

David Newbery

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Plenary Session
Natural Gas in South America: Opportunities and Challenges

Sylvie D’Apote

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Energy Specializations: Natural Gas


Plenary Session
Energy subsidies revisited

Fernando Navajas

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Energy Specializations: Energy Access


Plenary Session
EE/DSM in Latin America Or, for that matter, anywhere else

Perry Sioshansi

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Plenary Session
Wind Energy electricity renewables and intermittency development in LAC

Elbia Gannoum

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Plenary Session
Oil Energy Trends in LAC – The Non Conventional and Deep Water Challenges

Helder Queiroz

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Energy Specializations: Unconventional Fossil Resources


Plenary Session
Las empresas estatales de petróleo en Latinoamérica Evolución y Desafíos

Agustín Castaño

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Energy Specializations: Petroleum


Plenary Session
Regional energy integration: a new window of opportunity?

Edmar de Almeida

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Energy Specializations: Energy Security and Geopolitics


Plenary Session
El contexto energético y las instituciones

Ronaldo Bicalho

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


Plenary Session
Electricity development in Latin American and the Caribbean utilities: business models and challenges

Joisa Dutra

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Plenary Session
Electricity renewables and intermittency development in LAC

Ruben Chaer

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Plenary Session
Energy integration in LAC

Ricardo Raineri

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Economy


Plenary Session
Energy access, tarif, subsidies and social issues in LAC

Luis Alejandro Camargo

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Energy Specializations: Energy Access


Plenary Session
Institutional arrangements for sustainable energy development in LAC

Gerardo Rabinovich

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


Plenary Session
Integración energética en Latinoamérica: avances y principales desafíos

Victor Hugo Ventura

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Energy Specializations: Energy Security and Geopolitics


Plenary Session
Energy, Environment and Climate Change Challenges

Raúl Andrés Ávila Forero

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


Plenary Session
Rethinking the economics of global warming and renewable energy

James Plummer

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


Plenary Session
… and back to planning?

Isaac Dyner

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Plenary Session
Energy Efficiency Improvement Opportunities in “New Modern Energy Consumers” in the Greater Mekong Sub-region

Gabrial Anandarajah & Julia Tomei

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Energy Specializations: Energy Efficiency


Plenary Session
4 step in the short life of EU “energy policy”

Jean-Michel Glachant

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Plenary Session
Asuntos sociales energía eléctrica, gas natural y GLP Colombia

Astrid Martínez Ortiz

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Energy Specializations: Energy Access


Plenary Session
Forecasting natural gas supply and demand in Bolivia

Mauro F. Cha´vez-Rodri´guez, Alexandre Szklo & Andre´ F.P. Lucena

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Energy Specializations: Natural Gas


Plenary Session
Análisis Institucional de la Adopción de Tecnologías Renovables de Generación de Energía

Maritza Jimenez, Claudia Álvarez, Oscar Fernández, Carlos Jaime Franco & Isaac Dyner

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
¿Towards free transit of electric energy in Mercosur?

Daniela Varela

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Energy Specializations: Energy Security and Geopolitics


concurrent Session
Alternativas de transformación tecnológica de una empresa de energía eléctrica: un enfoque de recursos y capacidades

Grace Quiceno

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


concurrent Session
Marcos Supranacionales de la Integracio´n Energe´tica en Ame´rica del Sur

Vini´cius O. da Silva, Anto^nio C. Abreu Junior, Luiz C. R. Galva~o, & Miguel E. M. Udaeta

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Energy Specializations: Energy Security and Geopolitics


Concurrent Session
Recursos no convencionales de petro´leo y gas natural en Ame´rica del Sur, una realidad econo´mica a desarrollar

Gustavo Fabian Acosta

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Energy Specializations: Petroleum


Concurrent Session
The causal link between benchmark crude oil and the U.S. Dollar Value: in rising and falling oil and the U.S. Dollar Value: in rising and falling oil markets

Aqueela Ahmed

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Energy Specializations: Petroleum


Concurrent Session
Competitive Natural Gas Markets and Upstream Gas Pipeline Regulation: the case of Brazil

Lívia Amorim

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Energy Specializations: Natural Gas


concurrent Session
Combinación óptima de tecnologías en generación de energía para un mercado Latinoamericano

Sergio Botero Botero & Mónica A. Arango Arango

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Energy Specializations: Energy Investment and Finance


Concurrent Session
Investment in Electricity Markets in Latin America: Industrial Consumption, Political Constraints and another key factors

José Aurazo Iglesias

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Energy Specializations: Energy Investment and Finance


Concurrent Session
An Evaluation to the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Project of Compact Fluorescent Light Bulb (CFL) in Lebanon

Nouhad Awwad

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


Concurrent Session
Welfare Implications of Capacity Markets in the Electricity Sector

Rau´l Bajo-Buenestado

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Concurrent Session
Royalties do petro´leo e restaurac¸a~o florestal: avaliac¸a~o para o Estado do Rio de Janeiro

Bakker Bakker, L.B. & Young, C.E.F. C.E.F.

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Energy Specializations: Petroleum


Concurrent Session
Blowing Water Away: Increased Wind Power in a Stored Hydro Power System

Olvar Bergland

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Analysis Indicators of Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Assessing Renewable Energy Projects in Electrical Systems, Colombia’s case.

Marco Alejandro Berrío Monsalve, Mo´nica Arango Arango & Sergio Botero Botero

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


Concurrent Session
Could benefits overcome costs when adopting low carbon transport systems? An estimation of co benefits and regional integration in America’s South Cone.

Felipe Botelho Tavares, Luis Esteves & Helder Consoli

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Energy Specializations: Transportation


Concurrent Session
Valoración de la inclusión de las energía renovables en la canasta de energéticos tradicionales usando Opciones Reales. Un caso para Colombia.

Sergio Botero B. & Claudia Mari´a Garci´a M

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Energy Specializations: Energy Investment and Finance


Concurrent Session
Potencial para o ga´s na~o convencional na ame´rica latina: perspectivas e desafios

Yanna Clara Prade e Braga & Edmar de Almeida

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Energy Specializations: Unconventional Fossil Resources


Concurrent Session
A Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) in Bus Fuel Shifting: Cities that Adopted Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)

Thiago Luis Felipe Brito; Edmilson Moutinho dos Santos; Rodrigo Galbieri & Hirdan Katarina de Mederios Costa

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Energy Specializations: Natural Gas


Concurrent Session
Efectos Econo´micos de Expansiones en Transmisio´n Ele´ctrica: El caso del Mercado de Contratos en Chile

Javier Bustos-Salvagno & Fernando Fuentes H.

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Economy


Concurrent Session
Rural Electrification and Access to Electricity: an Issue Environmental, Economic Policy and Human Rights

Ednaldo José Silva Camargo & Fernando Selles Ribeiro

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Energy Specializations: Energy Access


concurrent Session
Gestión activa de la demanda de electricidad en el sector residencial colombiano

Manuela Zapata, Laura Cardenas Isaac Dyner & Carlos Jaime Franco

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Energy Specializations: Energy Efficiency


Concurrent Session
Estrategia de un agente del mercado eléctrico en un entorno ambientalmente amigable

Mónica Castañeda, Carlos Jaime Franco & Isaac Dyner

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Concurrent Session
Public investment in the Brazilian natural gas sector Inversio´n pu´blica en el sector de gas natural brasilen~o

Felipe Castor & Lavinia Hollanda

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Energy Specializations: Natural Gas


Concurrent Session
Improving energy access for economic development of rural communities – A modelling approach

Judith A. Cherni I. Dyner, F. Henao, R. Olalde Font & A. Urbina

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Energy Specializations: Energy Modeling


Concurrent Session
Loss of Load Cost: An Estimate for the Uruguayan Residential Sector

Nicola´s Castroman, Paula Cobas & Jimmy Mahady

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Concurrent Session
Desafios da Produc¸a~o de Ga´s Na~o- Convencional no Brasil

Marcelo Colomer & Edmar de Almeida

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Energy Specializations: Natural Gas


Concurrent Session
The Regulatory Framework and the Economic Feasibility of Deepwater E&P Projects in Brazil

Helder Consoli & Edmar Luiz Fagundes de Almeida

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Energy Specializations: Energy Investment and Finance


Concurrent Session
A Transmissa~o de Prec¸os na Cadeia do Etanol Hidratado no Estado de Sa~o Paulo

Felipe W. I. Costa & Amanda Tavares

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Biogas from sugarcane vinasse as a source of energy: potential and challenges for Brazil

Joa~o Felippe Cury Marinho Mathias & Daniel Vasconcelos Archer Duque

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


concurrent Session
A questão da liderança brasileira no mercosul e seu reflexo para integração energética na região latino-americana

Lilian Da Silva, Jucilene Galvão & Célio Bermann

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Energy Specializations: Energy Security and Geopolitics


Concurrent Session
Escenarios de mitigacio´n de gases de efecto invernadero en el sector de generacio´n ele´ctrica en Colombia.

Ricardo Delgado, A´ngela Cadena, Mo´nica Espinosa, Eduardo Behrentz & Jose´ Manuel Sandoval.

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


concurrent Session
Market Design Challenges and its Consequences for The Development of Electricity Markets in Brazil – 10 years of the 2004 Model

Joisa Dutra & Flavio Menezes

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Economy


concurrent Session
Dynamic integration of the world oil prices: a reinvestigation of globalization vs. regionalization

Qiang Ji & Ying Fan

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Energy Specializations: Unconventional Fossil Resources


concurrent Session
Solar photovoltaics in Brazil: what is preventing the deployment of its small DG generation?

Clarice Ferraz & Ronaldo Bicalho

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Generación solar fotovoltaica residencial: análisis de viabilidad financiera con diferentes configuraciones de la solución solar para el caso Colombia

Lorena Cadavid, Maritza Jiménez & Carlos Jaime Franco

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Impact of new electricity generation capacity in the power sector of El Salvador

Antonio Go´mez, Ce´sar Dopazo & Norberto Fueyo

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


concurrent Session
Governanza e Integracio´n Regional: el uso de los Recursos Hi´dricos en las relaciones Peru´-Brasil

Jucilene Galva~o, Lilian da Silva & Ce´lio Bermann.

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Energy Specializations: Energy Security and Geopolitics


Concurrent Session
Avances en la integración del mercado de gas natural europeo

Rafael Garaffa

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Energy Specializations: Natural Gas


Concurrent Session
Integracio´n Metodolo´gica de Planeacio´n de Empresas de Distribucio´n de Energi´a y Medicio´n de Eficiencia y Productividad

Carlos Andre´s García Montoya & Jesu´s Mari´a Lo´pez Lezama

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Energy Specializations: Energy Efficiency


Concurrent Session
Development of Photovoltaic Solar Energy in Latin America

Víctor D. Gil V & Gabriel J. Correa H.

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Territorial impacts of the exploitation of unconventional hydrocarbons in Vaca Muerta (Neuque´n , Argentina )

Adriana Giuliani & Sandra Ferrante

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Energy Specializations: Unconventional Fossil Resources


concurrent Session
Mitigating Wind Exposure With Zero-Cost Collars Options Insurance

Gláucia Fernandes, Leonardo Gomes, Gabriel Vasconcelos e Luiz Brandão

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Aplicacio´n del modelo Multi-Hubbert para la elaboracio´n de escenarios de produccio´n de petro´leo en Colombia

Esperanza Gonza´lez M., Alexandre Szklo & Andre´ Lucena

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Energy Specializations: Energy Modeling


Concurrent Session
Applying the Institutional Economics to Understand the Transaction- Costs in Oil Exploration Agreements: a Brazilian case study

Hirdan Costa, Edmilson Santos & Renata Rodrigues De Araújo

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Energy Specializations: Unconventional Fossil Resources


Concurrent Session
Evaluacio´n econo´mica del uso de tecnologi´as de seguimiento en centrales fotovoltaicas en Uruguay.

Germa´n Crapuchetti, Gonzalo Hermida, Marti´n Puppo & Diego Oron~o

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Economy


Concurrent Session
Estudio Preparatorio para la Implementacio´n en Chile de Esta´ndares Mi´nimos de Eficiencia Energe´tica en Motores Industriales

Carolina Hernandez, Virginie Letschert, Ali Hasanbeigi, Nihan Karali, Marcelo Padilla & Mariana Pavon

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Energy Specializations: Transportation


Concurrent Session
Perspectivas del shale en Argentina: potencial y barreras para el desarrollo de no convencionales Shale prospects in Argentina of unconventional

Mariano Berkenwald, Hirdan K. de M. Costa & Edmilson Moutinho dos Santos

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Energy Specializations: Unconventional Fossil Resources


Concurrent Session
Insertion of self-generators and distributed generators in the electricity market: Chilean and Argentine cases

Laura S. Hoyos G. & Belizza J. Ruiz M.

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Energy Specializations: Energy Access


Concurrent Session
Marginal Plants in Colombia ´s Power Exchange and the Incidence of their Displacement by Renewable Energy Plants

Sergio Botero B., Felipe Isaza & Jovan Cano C.

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Concurrent Session
Dynamic model for the study of the application of the renovation plan of domestic refrigerators in Ecuador

Nelson G. Jara C, Cesar A. Isaza R, Luciano Gallo´n & Diana Giraldo.

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Energy Specializations: Energy Modeling


Concurrent Session
Assessing the potential for ethanol-fueled power generation as a flexible dispatchable option for firming intermittent sources in Brazil

Alexandre Koberle, Joana Portugal, David Castelo Branco, Alexandre S. Szklo, Andre´ FP Lucena & Roberto Schaeffer

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Will Mexico’s Energy Reforms succeed in reversing its oil production decline? A market and multi-Hubbert analysis of future prospects

Alexandre Koberle, Esperanza Gonza´lez Mahecha & Alexandre S. Szklo

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Energy Specializations: Petroleum


Concurrent Session
Evaluating the Economic Feasibility Conditions of Unconventional Natural Gas in Brazil

Manuella B. Lion, Edmar L. F. Almeida & Luciano Losekann

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Energy Specializations: Unconventional Fossil Resources


Concurrent Session
The choice of dispatchable versus intermittent electricity generating technologies and the Brazilian case

Diogo Lisbona Romeiro, Edmar de Almeida & Luciano Losekann

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Stochastic optimization for the management of wind energy in the Brazilian Free Market

Cristina P. de M. S. Luz & Leonardo L. Gomes

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Energy Specializations: Energy Modeling


Concurrent Session
¿De que´ depende la demanda ele´ctrica residencial? Ana´lisis del caso argentino

Diego Margulis

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Economy


Concurrent Session
La efectividad de la poli´tica de compras a proveedores nacionales (Local Content Policy) en el sector petrolero Brasileño

Diana Marti´nez-Prieto & Edmar de Almeida

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Energy Specializations: Petroleum


Concurrent Session
Climate Change and Non-Residential Electricity Consumption in Colombia

Shaun McRae

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


Concurrent Session
A Responsabilidade Civil e Penal Ambiental nas atividades offshore de petro´leo e ga´s no Brasil

Renato Morais Guerra, Jose´ Vieira Monteiro Ju´nior & Yanko Marcius de Alencar Xavier

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Energy Specializations: Petroleum


Concurrent Session
Determinants of fuel price control in Brazil and price policy options

Patri´cia Oliveira & Edmar Almeida.

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Economy


Concurrent Session
Whether and how to encourage wind and solar power in Colombia

Sebastian Osorio & Camila Ochoa

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Incorporacio´n de la generacio´n eo´lica a los modelos de optimizacio´n y simulacio´n de largo plazo para el despacho energe´tico en Uruguay

Valentina Groposo Bertin & Martí´n Pedrana De Rosa

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Evaluacio´n, Asignacio´n y Remuneracio´n delServicio Complementario de Control de Tensio´n y Soporte de Potencia Reactiva: Agentes Generadores y Participacio´n de la Demanda

Dari´o Alfonso Perdomo Fontalvo

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Concurrent Session
Bio-Refineries beyond Energy Recovery

Stefan Petters, Kalvin Tse & Klaus Mauthner

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Energy Specializations: Unconventional Fossil Resources


Concurrent Session
Distributed generation exemption from network tariffs: general implications and analysis of a case study

Angela Picciariello, Erik G. Lindfeldt, & Lennart So¨der

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Energy Specializations: Energy Access


Concurrent Session
La sostenibilidad del negocio de generación de energía hidroeléctrica: un problema de instituciones y desarrollo

Jorge Andrés Polanco & Fabián Hernando Ramírez

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


Concurrent Session
El servicio de intercambio operacional (swap) para el suministro de gas natural: el caso de Argentina y Brasil

Diana Marti´nez-Prieto, Edmar de Almeida & Fabiola Rodrigues.

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Energy Specializations: Natural Gas


Concurrent Session
Beyond the deconstruction of myths and misunderstands about Energy Integration in South America

Renato Queiroz, Thauan Santos & Amaro O. Pereira Ju´nior

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Energy Specializations: Energy Security and Geopolitics


Concurrent Session
Impactos socioeconómico de la apertura del mercado de la distribución de la electricidad en el área rural de Guatemala

Jubenal Quispe

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Economy


Concurrent Session
Hydropower Optimization. Study of the System of the Rivers Las Can~as - Gastona - Medina

Santiago Reyna, Teresa Reyna, J. Lande, F. Fulginiti & Mari´a La´baque.

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Energy Specializations: Energy Modeling


Concurrent Session
Applications of Small Scale Renewable Energy

Teresa Reyna, Mari´a La´baque, Santiago Reyna, Ce´sar Riha & Florencia Groso.

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
OPEC: Dominant firm competitive fringe revisited

Ronald Ripple

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Energy Specializations: Petroleum


Concurrent Session
Análise da demanda por oleo diésel no Brasil

Niágara Rodrigues & Luciano Losekann

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Energy Specializations: Petroleum


Concurrent Session
The generation adecuacy problem: assessing dynamic effects of capacity remuneration mechanisms

Nicolas Hary, Vincent Rious & Marcelo Saguan

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Energy Specializations: Energy Security and Geopolitics


Concurrent Session
Ga´s de Folhelho: Perspectivas de Explorac¸a~o no Brasil Shale Gas: Exploration Perspectives in Brazil

Vitor E. S. Santos, Haline V. Rocha & Edmilson Moutinho dos Santos

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Energy Specializations: Unconventional Fossil Resources


Concurrent Session
Technological challenges and regulation for unconventional gas exploration in Brazil

Vitor E. S. Santos, Hirdan K. M. Costa, Edmilson Moutinho dos Santos

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Energy Specializations: Unconventional Fossil Resources


Concurrent Session
Eficie^ncia dos Custos Operacionais das Empresas de Distribuic¸a~o de Energia Ele´trica no Brasil

Robinson Semolini & Rosangela Ballini

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Concurrent Session
Evolution and performance of the Latin American National Oil Companies: Constructing an analytical proposal for the case of Petroleos Mexicanos

David Silva G.& María J. Paz. A.

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Energy Specializations: Petroleum


Concurrent Session
Reforming the Energy Vision: New York State’s Response to Hurricane Sandy

Lori Smith Schell

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Energy Specializations: Energy Access


Concurrent Session
Novos perfis de empresa representam uma nova dina^mica concorrencial no setor sucroenerge´tico brasileiro?

Gustavo A. Soares & Jose´ V. Bomtempo

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Guatemala: developing biofuels in the absence of the state

Julia Tomei

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Social and economic implications of building Hidroituango

Maria A. Torres S., Jose´ H. Caballero A., & Gabriel Awad.

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Economy


Concurrent Session
The Critical Landscape of the Brazilian Energy Sector

Mirko V. Turdera, Gabriela Peterson & Matheus Franzotti

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Energy Specializations: Energy Security and Geopolitics


Concurrent Session
A produc¸a~o de etanol no Brasil e seu impacto ambiental sobre o nexo clima-terra-energia- a´gua. Aplicac¸a~o da metodologia matriz insumo produto ambiental.

Eveline Va´squez Arroyo, Carolina Grottera, & Amaro Oli´mpio Pereira Jr

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment


Concurrent Session
Modelo de gestio´n para las transferencias del sector ele´ctrico.

Luis D. Ve´lez., Johan A. Ve´lez.

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Concurrent Session
Adecuacio´n del modelo regulatorio del mercado ele´ctrico uruguayo.

Dr. M. Vignolo, D. Oron~o, & .C. Zilli.

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Concurrent Session
An Update on the Attractiveness of Brazilian Deep-Water Hydrocarbon E&P

Vinicius Accurso & Ariel Jacquet

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Energy Specializations: Energy Investment and Finance


Concurrent Session
Best Practices of Public Revenue Surveillance in Oil and Gas Activities: Latin American Framework

Luiz Paulo Yparraguirre, Edmar de Almeida & Agustin Castan~o

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Energy Specializations: Energy Investment and Finance


Concurrent Session
Mecanismos de incentivo para promover fuentes de energi´a renovable en el sector ele´ctrico

Yhovanny F. Zamora V. & Belizza J. Ruiz M.

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Energy Specializations: Renewables


Concurrent Session
Análisis de políticas para la seguridad de suministro del mercado eléctrico Colombiano

Sebastián Zapata, Carlos Jaime Franco & Isaac Dyner

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Energy Specializations: Electricity


Concurrent Session
Assessing Climate Change Adaptation Policies

Walter Zuluaica R, Carlos Jaime Franco & Isaac Dyner R

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Energy Specializations: Energy and the Environment