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Securing Energy in Insecure Times

Potsdam, Germany
2006


Concurrent Session
Combining Top-Down and Bottom-Up in Energy Policy Analysis: A Decomposition Approach

Christoph BŽohringer, Thomas F. Rutherford


Concurrent Session
The Optimal Path of Energy and CO2Taxes for Intertemporal Resource Allocation and Improved Energy Efficiency

Klaus Conrad


Concurrent Session
MODELLING THE IMPACT OF THE OIL PRODUCTS' MARKET EVOLUTION ON THE CO2EMISSIONS OF THE EUROPEAN REFINERIES

Alireza TEHRANI NEJAD M., Val‚rie SAINT-ANTONIN


Concurrent Session
ECONOMETRIC ASSESSMENT OF ENERGY REGULATIONS ON ENVIRONMENTAL DIMENSIONS FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF ENERGY PORTFOLIOS INGLOBAL ENERGY MARKET

Nalinee Giri, BA BA, Dr. Jagdish P. N. Giri, Ph. D


Concurrent Session
District Heating and the Challenge of Innovation -a case study of residential house district heating investments in Sweden

Kristina Lygnerud


Concurrent Session
Modelling Natural Gas Markets - The Costs of Secure Natural Gas

J”rg DšWEKE, Thomas HAMACHER


Concurrent Session
GAS LIBERALISATION IN EUROPE AND SECURITY OF SUPPLY: THE BIG CHALLENGE

Susanna Dorigoni, Sergio Portatadino


Concurrent Session
The demand for gasoline of passenger vehicles in Japan to 2010: a vehicle stock and vehicle efficiency approach

David Bonilla


Concurrent Session
ESTIMATING GASOLINE CONSUMPTION OF GREEK HOUSEHOLDS

George Hondroyiannis, Eleni Sardianou


Concurrent Session
Competition, regulation, and pricing behavior in the Spanish retail gasoline market

Ignacio Cont¡n-Pilart, Aad F. Correlj‚, M. Blanca Palacios


Concurrent Session
THE EFFECT OF STANDARDS AND FUEL PRICES ON AUTOMOBILE FUEL ECONOMY: ANINTERNATIONAL ANALYSIS

Theodoros Zachariadis, Sofronis Clerides


Concurrent Session
A Modi_ed Yardstick Competition Mechanism

Georg Meran, Christian von Hirschhausen


Concurrent Session
Incentive Regulation for Efficient Transmission Expansion

MAKOTO TANAKA


Concurrent Session
New trends in energy regulation: the integration of command and control approaches, tariff regulation and artificial markets for demand-side resources

Marcella PAVAN


Concurrent Session
DESIGN FRAMEWORK FOR ELECTRICITY QUALITY REGULATION

Rudi HAKVOORT, Viren AJODHIA


Concurrent Session
FIRM BEHAVIOR UNDER INCENTIVE REGULATION: THE INEFFICIENCIES OF BENCHMARKING

Scott W. CUNNINGHAM, Jeroen DE JOODE


Concurrent Session
Assessing economic consequencesof the European Electricity Market Design choices: The case of balancing mechanism

Marcelo Saguan, Jean Michel Glachant, Philippe Dessante


Concurrent Session
STRATEGIES FOR AN EFFICIENT INTEGRATION OF WIND POWER CONSIDERING DEMAND RESPONSE

Marian Klobasaa, Carlo Obersteiner, Mario Ragwitz, Hans Auer


Concurrent Session
DERIVING ECONOMIC MODEL FOR CARBON ACCOUNTING ON ENERGY REGULATIONS & BUSINESS SCORECARD OF ASIAN GAS MARKETS FOR SUSTAINABLE CARBON ECONOMY IN 21ST CENTURY

Dr. Jagdish, P. N. Giri


Concurrent Session
BIDDING IN INTERRELATED DAY-AHEAD ELECTRICITY MARKETS: INSIGHTS FROM AN AGENT-BASED SIMULATION MODEL

Anke Weidlich, Daniel Veit


Concurrent Session
Security of Electricity supply in a liberalized environment: An agent based approach with application to the case of Switzerland

Edgard Gnansounou, Abdelaziz Lahlou


Concurrent Session
SIMULATING THE EXPANSION OF RENEWABLE ELECTRICITY GENERATION IN GERMANY- AN AGENT-BASED APPROACH

Frank SENSFUSS, Mario RAGWITZ, Massimo GENOESE


Concurrent Session
An Agent-based model to analyse the long-term development of the German electricity system

Massimo Genoese, Dominik M”st, Frank Sensfuá, Otto Rentz


Concurrent Session
MANAGEMENT TOOLS FOR THE PURCHASE OBLIGATION OF PRIORITY PRODUCTION: THE CASE OF WIND POWER

CEline HIROUX, Florent MAUPAS, Sophie PLUMEL


Concurrent Session
Space and Time: Wind in an Investment Planning Model

Karsten Neuhoff, Andreas Ehrenmann, Lucy Butler, Jim Cust, Harriet Hoexter, Kim Keats, Adam Kreczko, Graham Sinden


Concurrent Session
The offshore trend: Structural changes in the wind power sector

Jochen Markard, Regula Petersen


Concurrent Session
Nodal Pricing of the European Electricity Grid - A Welfare Economic Analysis for Feeding-in Offshore Wind Electricity

Hannes Weigt, Karen Freund, Till Jeske


Concurrent Session
Alternative Grid Extension Measures Due to Additional Offshore Wind Energy in the German North Sea - A Model with Particular Consideration to Cross-Boarder Flows to Benelux Countries

Till Jeske


Concurrent Session
Oil and Gas Exploration Success: An Econometric Assessment

Klaus Mohn


Concurrent Session
IMPACTS OF GAS SUPPLY FROM RUSSIA ON GLOBAL ENERGY SYSTEMS

Keigo AKIMOTO, Fuminori SANO, Takashi HOMMA, Toshimasa TOMODA


Concurrent Session
A LOOK INSIDE THE MOST SUCCESSFUL RESTRUCTURED ELECTRICITY MARKET IN NORTH AMERICA: TEXAS

Jay Zarnikau


Concurrent Session
Brazilian ESI restructuring: Reform by trial and error?

Joao Lizardo R. HERMES DE ARAUJO


Concurrent Session
COMPETITION IN THE CONTINENTAL EUROPEAN ELECTRICITY MARKET: DESPAIR OR WORK IN PROGRESS?

Reinhard Haas, Jean-Michel Glachant, Hans Auer, Nenad Keseric, Yannick Perez


Concurrent Session
From Transition to Competition -Dynamic Efficiency Analysis of Polish Electricity Distribution Companies

Astrid Cullmann


Concurrent Session
EFFIENCY ANALYSIS OF EAST AND WEST GERMAN ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTION COMPANIES -DO THE "OSSIS" REALLY BEAT THE "WESSIS"?

Borge Hess, Astrid Cullmann


Concurrent Session
FACTORS INFLUENCING QUALITY OFSERVICE AMONG ELECTRICAL DISTRIBUTION UTILITIES - AN ANALYSIS BASED ON PANEL DATA

Roar AMUNDSVEEN


Concurrent Session
Potential for Synergy Between Renewables and Carbon Capture and Storage Hannah Chalmers, Jon Gibbins

Hannah Chalmers, Jon Gibbins


Concurrent Session
GEOTHERMAL HEAT SUPPLY BY HOT DRY ROCK TECHNOLOGY

Hermann-Josef WAGNER, Norbert FECK


Concurrent Session
Perspectives on the development of Power Generating Technology under the specific European market requirements

Georg Rosenbauer, Lothar Balling, Frank Hannemann, Henrik Stiesdal


Concurrent Session
A Proposal for New Mechanism to Facilitate Carbon-Free Technological Developments for Climate Change

Tadashi Aoyagi, Kenichiro Yamaguchi, Tatsujiro Suzuki


Concurrent Session
Carbon Capture and Storage: A New Turn in the German Coal Dispute?

Corinna Fischer, Barbara Praetorius


Concurrent Session
SURVEY ON FUTURE ENERGY SYSTEM STRUCTURE UNDER CO2 CONSTRAINTS AND GENERATION COST

Hiroshi UJITA, Kazuaki MATSUI, Masanori TASHIMO


Concurrent Session
ECOLOGICAL TAX REFORM AND EMISSIONS TRADING - CAN THEY WORK TOGETHER?

Kai Schlegelmilch, Maike Bunse


Concurrent Session
ECONOMIC COMPARISON OF GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION OPTIONS IN GERMANY

Katja SCHUMACHER, Ronald D. SANDS


Concurrent Session
THE RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN ADAPTATION AND MITIGATION AND ITS POLICY IMPLICATIONS

Phillia RESTIANI


Concurrent Session
On the Restrictiveness of Separability: The Significance of Energy in German Manufacturing.

Manuel Frondel, Christoph M. Schmidt


Concurrent Session
High Crude Oil Prices - A Study on Midstream and Downstream Demand Influence on Prices

Youngho Chang, Yeow Hua Sng


Concurrent Session
Assessment of Hydrogen Chains Based on Renewable Energy

Amela Ajanovic, Reinhard Haas, Nebojsa Nakicenovic


Concurrent Session
FOCUS OF FEDERAL FUEL CELL RESEARCH FUNDING IN GERMANY

Ludmilla Schlecht, Hanns-Joachim Neef


Concurrent Session
EUROPEAN HYDROGEN ENERGY ROADMAP

Martin Wietschel, Philipp Seydel, Ulrich B?nger, Reinhold Wurster


Concurrent Session
An Analytical Approach for Valuing Commodity Price Forecasts

Christopher J. Jablonowski


Concurrent Session
Volatile Oil Price and Electronic Trading System

Huei-Chu Liao, Ya-Hui Chen


Concurrent Session
FINANCIAL RESTRUCTURING OF THE POWER SECTOR IN BANGLADESH

Dr. Andreas KORN, Dr. Mechthild HORN


Concurrent Session
COMPARING PAY-AS-BID AND SYSTEM MARGIONAL PRICING AUCTION IN AN OLIGAPOLY ELECTRICITY MARKET

Fei TENG


Concurrent Session
BEHAVIOUR PATTERNS AND THE ELECTRICITY MARKET DESIGN: EVIDENCE FROM THE SPANISH DAILY MARKET

V¡tor Marques Isabel Soares, Adelino Fortunato


Concurrent Session
Security of supply under the aspects of resources, system development, emissions and costs until 2030

G?nther Brauner


Concurrent Session
EVALUATING DIFFERENT SCENARIOS OF CHINA'S FUTURE ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND SO2-EMISSIONS - A DYNAMIC WELFARE OPTIMISATION APPROACH

Yong Li, Andreas Oberheitmann


Concurrent Session
On the Role of Policy Instruments in Designing Emissions Markets

Akira Maeda, Tetsuo Tezuka


Concurrent Session
Allocation and Incentives: Impacts of CO2 EmissionAllowance Allocations to the Electricity Sector

Karsten Neuhoff, Kim Keats, Misato Sato


Concurrent Session
EMISSIONS TRADING: HOW TO DETERMINE THE EFFICIENT COVERAGE?

Regina Annette BETZ, Tihomir ANCEV


Concurrent Session
COORDINATION OF TARIFF AND RESIDENTIAL CONSUMPTION ON ELECTRICPOWER DISTRIBUTION BY GENETIC ALGORITHM

Gino Hadjee, Daniel Sadarnac, Marcelo Sanguan


Concurrent Session
STOCHASTIC ENERGY IMPORT PRICES IN A MULTI-REGIONAL ENERGY SYSTEMS MODEL

Volker Krey, Dag Martinsen, Hermann-Josef Wagner


Concurrent Session
Learning-by-Doing and the Optimal Solar Policy in California

Arthur van Benthem, Kenneth Gillingham


Concurrent Session
A Social Cost-Benefit Analysis on Renewable Energy Development Plan - A Case Study of Taiwan

Chi-Yuan Liang


Concurrent Session
The future of support policies for renewable electricity - Quo vadis, Europe?

Gustav Resch, Mario Ragwitz, Thomas Faber, Reinhard Haas, Claus Huber


Concurrent Session
The long-term promotion of Renewable Sources of Energy in Italy

Ugo Farinelli, Federico Santi


Concurrent Session
Explicit Coordinated Auctions: A Step Forward In Applied European Congestion Management

Christian Todem, Florian Leuthold


Concurrent Session
Merchant transmission investment in Europe Opportunities for private initiatives in a regulated market segment

Hanneke DE JONG, Hamilcar KNOPS, Rudi HAKVOORT


Concurrent Session
A Time-Variant Welfare Economic Analysis of a Nodal Pricing Mechanism in Germany

Hannes Weigt


Concurrent Session
CONGESTION MANAGEMENT IN MESHED GAS NETWORKS: CAN THE ELECTRICITY MARKET SERVE AS AN EXAMPLE?

Jeroen DE JOODE, Hanneke DE JONG, Laurens DE VRIES


Concurrent Session
The Rebound Effect: Microeconomic Definitions, Extensions and Limitations

John Dimitropoulos, Steve Sorrell


Concurrent Session
Energy efficiency and market-based mechanisms: analysis of Italian experience and potential developments in Europe

D. Di Palma, M. Lucentini, F. Rottenberg


Concurrent Session
Using Monte Carlo simulation toassess the impact of risks and managerial flexibility ondifferent generation technologies

Fabien A. Roques, William J. Nuttall, David M. Newbery


Concurrent Session
THE INFLUENCE OF UNCERTAINTY UPON GENERATION ADEQUACY

Fabien A. Roques, William J. Nuttall, David M. Newbery


Concurrent Session
A Comparison of Methodologies Incorporating Uncertainties into Power Plant Investment Evaluations

Ninghong SUN, Derk Jan SWIDER, Alfred VOSS


Concurrent Session
Prioritizing investment The value of portfolio decisions in electricity infrastructure management

Ype C. Wijnia, Joost P. Warners


Concurrent Session
THE ADVERSE HEALTH IMPLICATIONSOF FUELWOOD CONSUMPTION AMONG INDIAN HOUSEHOLDERS

Shonali PACHAURI, Andreas KEMMLER, Michael BOESCH, Kaushik DEB


Concurrent Session
A DECISION SUPPORT FRAMEWORK FOR MANAGEMENT OF POWER SUPPLY SHORTAGES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

GOUFO Yemtsa, LIU Ying Zong


Concurrent Session
SECURING ELECTRICITY ACCESS IN SENEGAL THROUGH DECENTRALISED SYSTEMS

Zaida CONTRERAS


Concurrent Session
CAN ENERGY EFFICIENCY POLICIES DELIVER CARBON REDUCTIONS?: EVIDENCE FROM MACRO-ECONOMIC MODELLING

Terry BARKER, Tim FOXON


Concurrent Session
Agro-industrial and refining model integration for decision making purposes concerning biofuel take-off

Frederick Bernard, Stephane His, Stelios Rozakis, Valerie Saint-Antonin, David Tr'eguer


Concurrent Session
Local Integrated Energy Resources Planning Implementation Process

Miguel Edgar Morales Udaeta, Ricardo Junqueira Fujii, Ricardo Lacerda Baitelo, Geraldo Francisco Burani


Concurrent Session
The public promotion of renewable energies in electricity generation in Spain. The wind energy in the canary islands.

Yannick P?REZ, Francisco Javier RAMOS-REAL


Concurrent Session
Demand for storage of natural gas in north-western Europe. A simulation based forecast 2006-2030

Felix H”ffler, Madjid K?bler


Concurrent Session
Natural gas corridors among the EU and its main suppliers: Simulation results with the dynamic GASTALE mode

Wietze LISE, Benjamin F. HOBBS, Frits van OOSTVOORN


Concurrent Session
A WORLD-WIDE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF THE NON CONVENTIONAL CRUDE OIL SUPPLY BASED ONA MODELLING APPROACH

Armelle SANIERE, Fr‚d‚ric LANTZ


Concurrent Session
FUTURE GEOLOGICAL AVAILABILITY OF OIL AND NATURAL GAS

Hilmar REMPEL & J. Peter GERLING


Concurrent Session
FINANCIAL TRANSMISSION RIGHTS: IMPLEMENTATION ISSUES

Metin Celebi, Philip Hanser


Concurrent Session
WHAT PLACE FOR COMPETITION TO DEVELOP THE POWER TRANSMISSION NETWORK?

Vincent RIOUS


Concurrent Session
AN ERROR-CORRECTION, SIMULTANEOUS EQUATION MODEL TO ESTIMATE THE DEMAND AND THE SUPPLY CURVES IN ELECTRICITY MARKETS

Carlo Fezzi, Derek Bunn


Concurrent Session
AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF WHOLESALE ELECTRICITY PRICES IN JAPAN

Mika GOTO, Nobuyuki YAMAGUCHI


Concurrent Session
The impact of CO2 emission quotas on wholesale electricity markets

Peter Fristrup, KVL KVL, Jorgen Birk Mortensen, KU KU, Ole Jess Olsen


Concurrent Session
Should the Russian gas sector be deregulated?

Y Grigoryev, HF Hashim


Concurrent Session
AN ANALYSIS ON THE HOUSEHOLD USAGE FOR ALTERNATIVE-FUEL VEHICLES USING THE BAYESIAN MULTIPLE DISCRETE - CONTINUOUS EXTREME VALUE (MDCEV) MODEL

Jiwoon Ahn, Yeonbae Kim, Gicheol Jeong, Tai-Yoo Kim


Concurrent Session
A BOUNDED RATIONALITY MODEL OF PRIVATE ENERGY INVESTMENT DECISIONS

Tobias Wittmann, Robbie Morrison, Julius Richter, Thomas Bruckner


Concurrent Session
Optimizing Technology Mix for Power Generation in India through Technological Learning Considerations

Jyotirmay Mathur, Narendra Kumar Bansal, Hermann -Josef Wagner, Shri Mata Vaishno


Concurrent Session
Learning-by-doing in the wind turbine industry or in wind electricity production - why does it matter to differentiate? A case study of Germany

Katja SCHUMACHER, Michael KOHLHAAS


Concurrent Session
Examining the Long-Run Relation among Spot Prices of Crude Oil and Natural Gas

IMAD JABIR


Concurrent Session
THE SECOND ALCOHOL SHOCK IN BRAZIL - LOOKING FOR MORE FLEXIBILITY

Edmilson MOUTINHO DOS SANTOS, Virginia PARENTE


Concurrent Session
Biodiesel: A New Oildorado?

J”rg Peters, Manuel Frondel


Concurrent Session
Can Biofuels Pose a Serious Challenge to Crude Oil?

Dr Mamdouh G. Salameh


Concurrent Session
Least Cost RES-E Grid Integration inthe European Union: Analyses of Different Cost Allocation Policies based on the Simulation Model

Hans Auer, Carlo Obersteiner, Lukas Weissensteiner, Wolfgang Pr?ggler


Concurrent Session
THE MODERNISATION OF ELECTRICITY NETWORKS: A SUGGESTED FRAMEWORK FOR ANALYSIS

Martijn JONKER


Concurrent Session
Effect of Changes in Regulatory Quality on Electricity Lines Investment and Reliability in New Zealand

Richard MEADE, James TREMEWAN


Concurrent Session
MEASURING MARKET POWER IN WHOLESALE ELECTRICITY ITALIAN MARKET: APRIL - DECEMBER 2004.

Carlo Andrea Bollino, Paolo Polinori


Concurrent Session
Locational Market Power in Network Constrained Market

Karla Atkins, Jiangzhuo Chen, V.S. Anil Kumar, Matthew Macauley, Achla Marathe


Concurrent Session
Deregulation vs. Perfect Competition: Market Power on the Electricity Market

Walter Reinisch, Tetsuo Tezuka


Concurrent Session
Science and Technology Policy of Environment and Energy Sector in Japan

Yoshiki Ogawa


Concurrent Session
Efficient Electricity Portfolios for Switzerland and the United States

Boris Krey, Peter Zweifel


Concurrent Session
Macroeconomic Effects of Power Sector Modernization in the EU-25 Countries Under a Post-Kyoto-Regime

Dipl.-™konom Marcel Z?rn, Dipl.-Volkswirt Robert K?ster, Dipl.-Volkswirt Ingo, Ellersdorfer Ellersdorfer


Concurrent Session
DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF LIBERALIZATION IN THE INVESTMENT OF ELECTRICITY GENERATION

Mar¡a Teresa Garc¡a-Alvarez, Rafael M. Garc¡a-Rodr¡guez, Rosa Mar¡a Mariz-P‚rez


Concurrent Session
DO TECHNOLOGY SPECIFIC CO2-ALLOCATIONS DISTORT INVESTMENTS?

Michael Bartels, Felix M?sgens


Concurrent Session
IRREVERSIBILITIES AND TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATIONS: INVESTMENTS FLEXIBILITY AS A CONDITION TO SECURE FUTURE NUCLEAR ENERGY

Karine FIORE


Concurrent Session
Assessing the Robustness of Real Option Strategy for Energy Investment using Exploratory Modeling & Analysis Method

Datu Buyung Agusdinata


Concurrent Session
Forward Contracts and Collusion: the European Electricity Markets

Yanhua Zhang


Concurrent Session
MICRO COGENERATION: TOWARDS A DECENTRALIZED AND SUSTAINABLE GERMAN ENERGY SYSTEM?

Barbara PRAETORIUS, Lambert SCHNEIDER


Concurrent Session
OPERATIONAL PLANNING METHODAND ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF MICROGRID WITH INTERMITTENT RENEWABLE ENERGY AND BATTERY STORAGE

Hiroshi ASANO, Shigeru BANDO


Concurrent Session
MICROPOWER IN RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS - AN ANALYSIS OF CUSTOMER PREFERENCES AND BUSINESS MODELS

Rolf WšSTENHAGEN, Jasper BOEHNKE, Josef KAENZIG


Concurrent Session
NEW DEPLOYMENT MODELS FOR MICRO-GENERATION: Economic, Regulatory and Policy Issues for the UK

Dr Jim Watson, Raphael Sauter, Dr. `Bakr Bahaj, Dr. Patrick James, Dr. Luke Myers, Dr. Robert Wing


Concurrent Session
Transatlantic Natural Gas Price and Oil Price Relationships -An Empirical Analysis

Claudia Vasquez Josse, Anne Neumann


Concurrent Session
Industrializing Bolivian Natural Gas Reserves by Means of GTL Method

Miguel Edgar Morales Udaeta, Murilo Tadeu Werneck Fag, Geraldo Francisco Burani, Cidar Ram¢n Rocha Oliva


Concurrent Session
Operation of Distributed Generation Under Stochastic Prices

Afzal Siddiqui, Chris Marnay


Concurrent Session
A REGULATORY INSTRUMENT TO ENHANCE SECURITY OF SUPPLY IN THE SPANISH WHOLESALE ELECTRICITY MARKET

Carlos Batlle, Carlos V zquez, Michel Rivier Ignacio J. P‚rez-Arriaga


Concurrent Session
The Pricing of International Oil and Gas Companies 1990-2003 - A Structural Shift in the Equity Valuation Process

B†rd Misund, Petter Osmundsen, Frank Asche


Concurrent Session
Profiles of Industrial Consolidation: Merger & Acquisition Activities in the European Energy Markets

Marc Petz, Diplom-Betriebswirt (FH) Dr. rer. nat. Matthias Cord Prof. Dr. rer. pol. Klaus-Dieter Maier


Concurrent Session
Economics of the LNG Value Chain and Corporate Strategies An Empirical Analysis of the Determinants of Vertical Integration

Sophia R?ster, Anne Neumann


Concurrent Session
Bundling and vertical relations in European energy market

Vincent GIRAULT


Concurrent Session
German Energy Policy for Competitiveness and Sustainability - Challenges and Opportunities

Prof. Dr. Claudia Kemfert


Concurrent Session
PUBLIC SERVICE OBLIGATIONS: HOW TO REALISE THEIR POTENTIAL IN THE EUROPEAN ENERGY INDUSTRY?

Hamilcar KNOPS, Piet Jan SLOT, Kirsten WILKESHUIS, Hanneke de JONG


Concurrent Session
Electricity Subsidies in Low Cost Jurisdictions: The Case of British Columbia (Canada)

Pierre-Olivier Pineau