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International Energy Workshop: A Summary of the 1983 Poll Responses

Alan S. Manne and Leo Schrattenholzer

Year: 1984
Volume: Volume 5
Number: Number 1
DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol5-No1-3
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Abstract:
Energy forecasting is a hazardous occupation. Virtually any pro-jection is doomed to be incorrect. Opinions can swing from one extreme to another during a six-month period. Our paper is not intended to providestill another projection, but rather to try to explain why different individuals and organizations arrive at divergent views on the long-term energy outlook-and therefore differ on policy decisions.



International Energy Workshop: Oil Price Projections

Alan S. Manne and Leo Schrattenholzer with the assistance of Jennifer L. Rowley

Year: 1986
Volume: Volume 7
Number: Number 3
DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol7-No3-8
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Abstract:
This paper analyzes the distribution of long-term oil price projections submitted by participants in the January 1986 International Energy Workshop (IEW) poll. Wide differences of opinion are observed between individual respondents.





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