IAEE Members and subscribers to The Energy Journal: Please log in to access the full text article or receive discounted pricing for this article.

Towards General Equilibrium in a Technology-Rich Model with Empirically Estimated Behavioral Parameters

Abstract:
Most energy-economy policy models offered to policy makers are deficient in terms of at least one of technological explicitness, microeconomic realism, or macroeconomic completeness. We herein describe CIMS, a model which starts with the technological explicitness of the Òbottom-upÓ approach and adds the microeconomic realism and macroeconomic completeness of the ÒtopdownÓ CGE approach. This paper demonstrates CIMSÕ direct utility for policy analysis, and also how it can be used to better estimate the long run capital-forenergy substitution elasticity (ESUB) and autonomous energy efficiency index (AEEI) technology parameters used in top-down models. By running CIMS under several possible energy price futures and observing their effects on capital and energy input shares and energy consumption, we estimate an economy-wide ESUB of 0.26 and an AEEI of 0.57%, with significant sectoral differences for both parameters.

Purchase ( $25 )

Energy Specializations: Energy Modeling – Other; Energy and the Environment – Climate Change and Greenhouse Gases; Energy and the Environment – Policy and Regulation

JEL Codes: Q41: Energy: Demand and Supply; Prices, Q40: Energy: General, Q35: Hydrocarbon Resources, Q54: Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming

Keywords: CGE approach, CIMS model, Energy policy, Hybrid modeling, Technological change

DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-VolSI2006-NoSI2-5

Published in Hybrid Modeling, Special Issue #2 of the bi-monthly journal of the IAEE's Energy Economics Education Foundation.

 

© 2021 International Association for Energy Economics | Privacy Policy | Return Policy