Econonomics of Energy and Environmental Policy

Article Details

IAEE Members and subscribers to Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy : Please log in to access the full text article.

Use and Abuse of Energy and Climate Scenarios—A Week of Controversy on Scenarios

Energy and climate scenarios, and all other scenarios, are controversial, because they touch strategic issues, and also affect very basic operational discussion, such as the choice of the fuel mix, or the degree of trading between companies and nations. This article documents a controversial exchange of ideas via email between the two opponents, about energy and climate scenarios, following the Plenary Session on "Long-term Energy Scenarios" at the 41st International IAEE conference in Groningen (June 12, 2018), concretely between June 16 and 22, 2018 (with the panel organizers and IAEE staff always kept in cc). One of the opponents, Michael Jefferson, contributed to the first scenario exercises by Shell, the World Energy Council, and others; the other opponent, Christian Breyer, is Professor of Solar Economy at LUT University, and focusses on scenarios with 100% renewable energies. In addition to the lively and open debate, the controversy also contains a wealth of important references to scenario analysis.
Purchase PDF ( $35 )
Executive Summary: View

Keywords: Energy, Climate, Scenarios, Controversies, Debate

DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.9.1.mjef

Reference information is available for this article. Join IAEE or purchase the article to view reference data.

Published in Volume 9, Number 1 of The Quarterly Journal of the IAEE's Energy Economics Education Foundation.


© 2024 International Association for Energy Economics | Privacy Policy | Return Policy