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Regional Economic and Energy Prospects in the Developing Countries: Application of the PREDESS Model

Abstract:
The PREDESS model (Previsions Regionales de l'Economie et de la Demande d'Energie par Source et par Secteur) analyzes the economies of the developing countries by region and sector. It integrates the dissymmetry of the world economy into the productive process, with the industrialized countries acting as the traditional driving force. An energy model, also constructed by region and sector, is linked to the world economic model. It includes both commercial and traditional energy sources and stresses their development and substitution possibilities. The model pays special attention to the problems of traditional energy sources (such as deforestation) and analyzes the consequences of replacing traditional with commercial sources.

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Energy Specializations: Energy Access – Sustainable Development and Distributed Energy; Energy and the Economy – Energy as a Productive Input; Energy and the Economy –Economic Growth and Energy Demand; Energy and the Economy – Resource Endowments and Economic Performance; Energy and the Economy – Energy Shocks and Business Cycles

JEL Codes:
Q01 - Sustainable Development
O13 - Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products
Q34 - Natural Resources and Domestic and International Conflicts
F44 - International Business Cycles

Keywords: Traditional energy sources, Developing countries, PREDESS model, deforestation

DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol9-No2-6


Published in Volume 9, Number 2 of The Quarterly Journal of the IAEE's Energy Economics Education Foundation.